Forecasting from business drivers
On This Lesson 4 topics
This lesson is planned. The outline below lists the topics it will cover. The full lesson has not been published yet.
In this lesson
turn business plans into load forecasts instead of extrapolating graphs.
Planned topics
- Drivers: orders, sellers, listings, countries, campaigns, each with its own load factor.
- Convert drivers to technical load with ratios (requests per order, rows per listing) from measurements.
- Show ranges and sensitivity: what if growth is 1.5x or 3x rather than 2x.
- Revisit assumptions regularly; track forecast error.
Draft outline details
Demonstration
a model table: driver, annual value, ratio, resulting load, with low, base, and high cases for three years.
Check your understanding
Why not extend last year's traffic curve?
Show answer
New products, countries, and campaigns change the drivers and shape of load.
Practice
Apply this lesson with the module's lab, exercises and quiz.
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